Biofuels forecasts

Biofuel supply chain managers face several challenges in planning for raw material procurement and inventory management. These challenges stem from the inherent volatility and complexity of both the biofuel industry and the broader economic environment. In addition, frequent changes in government policies, subsidies and environmental regulations can impact market stability and affect all those who trade in the biofuels and feedstocks sector.

Fastmarkets’ analyses and forecasts are based on a holistic approach that considers relevant and market-reflective raw material price data and supply trends. They are designed to help you negotiate futures contracts, minimize risk and maximize profit margins.

Along with price forecasting, we offer credit price forecasting and margin comparisons. Equipped with this information, you can take actionable steps in generating greater profits.

Our biofuel forecasts include

• LCFS Credit price forecast
• Gross margin comparisons for renewable diesel and biodiesel (with and without credits)
• Revenue vs cost differences for renewable diesel and biodiesel
• Renewable diesel vs biodiesel costs breakdowns of feedstock inputs such as DCO, UCO, YG, SBO, etc.
• Impacts of credit values on renewable diesel and biodiesel
• RIN price forecast
• Spreads on heating oil to SBO
• HOBO forward curve
• Biodiesel, SAF and renewable diesel production and spreads
• EMTS Biofuels supply, production and imports
• Changes to the D4, D5 and D6 RINs
• US domestic ethanol
• EIA Production data, feedstock use, sales, etc.