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Five key takeaways from our CIPS webinar.

The US aluminium industry is experiencing challenges related to tariffs, which have contributed to higher prices and premiums, raising questions about potential impacts on demand. Alcoa's CEO has noted that sustained high prices could affect the domestic market. While trade agreements might provide some relief, analysts expect premiums to remain elevated in the near term. However, aluminum demand is projected to grow over the long term, supported by the energy transition and clean energy projects. To meet this demand, the industry will need to increase production, restart idle smelters and address factors such as electricity costs and global competition.

The DRC is set to decide on the future of its cobalt export ban on June 22, potentially extending, modifying or ending the policy. Aimed at boosting local refining and value creation, the ban has left global markets uncertain, with stakeholders calling for clarity as cobalt prices fluctuate and concerns over long-term demand grow.

Cobalt Holdings plans to acquire 6,000 tonnes of cobalt. Following their $230M London Stock Exchange listing, this move secures a key cobalt reserve. With the DRC’s export ban affecting prices, the decision reflects shifting industry dynamics

China's shipbuilding sector remains strong despite proposed US tariffs, leading the industry for the 15th consecutive year in 2024 with 55.7% of global completions and 74.1% of new orders. Chinese shipyards benefit from low labor costs, efficient supply chains and competitive steel prices, offering vessels at significantly lower costs than US equivalents. High demand for materials and next-gen vessels further reinforces China's dominance in global shipbuilding.

China is a key leader in lithium-ion battery recycling, implementing new national standards designed to strengthen supply chain security, improve efficiency and address increasing market demand by July 2025.

Fastmarkets’ March 2025 forecast lowers global crude steel production to 1.846 billion tonnes, reflecting trade policy impacts and economic uncertainties despite late 2024 production gains in key markets like China and the US.

The Trump administration has introduced reciprocal tariffs, matching about half the rates imposed by US trade partners, with a minimum of 10%, to boost domestic industries and achieve "economic independence." While praised by US steel manufacturers for protecting jobs, the effect on trade relationships with partners like Canada and Mexico remains uncertain.

The 2025 executive order on U.S. mineral production is a major step toward strengthening domestic supply chains and national security. By boosting domestic mineral production, it aims to reduce reliance on imports and ensure a secure future for critical industries. This order will shape the future of U.S. mining and its role in global markets.