Cobalt long-term forecast

Insights and expert economic modeling to give you unmatched clarity into how the cobalt market will evolve

Our cobalt long-term forecasts are part of a set of products including long-term forecasts for lithium, graphite, nickel, copper, manganese sulfate and recycled materials

Cobalt remains a critical battery material for the electric vehicle (EV) and energy storage system (ESS) markets – with the EVs becoming the largest demand segment in 2022. At the same time, the structure of the cobalt market is changing as new, geographically diverse supply is brought to market and the increased focus on ESG is leading to strides in cleaning up the supply chain.

Market participants, particularly battery makers and automakers benefit from a 10-year view. It gives them more flexibility and confidence to include cobalt in the chemistry plans as supply diversity grows and ESG concerns lessen.

The Fastmarkets cobalt long-term forecast leverages our heritage in providing price data and market intelligence in the cobalt market. These insights are paired with expert economic modeling and data to provide market participants and investors with unmatched clarity on how the cobalt market will evolve in the next 10 years.

The 10-year cobalt long-term forecast includes:

  • Price forecasts for cobalt standard grade 
  • Demand forecasts from the EV and ESS markets and from different car types and battery chemistries 
  • Key ESG and supply chain qualification criteria 
  • Supply forecasts including an in-depth review of future supply from existing and new production and projects and geographical analysis, including DRC, Indonesia, Americas, Australia, Africa, Europe and the rest of the world 
  • Analysis of cobalt processing production 
  • The developments of cobalt recycling and its impact on the supply chain 
  • Access to expert analysts  

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Lighting, Light, Nature

Forecasts and insights that give you unmatched clarity into how the cobalt market will evolve over the decade

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Read some of the latest market coverage coming from our team of price reporters, researchers and editorial team from across the globe

Electra Battery Materials Corp announced on Thursday July 31 that it is starting metallurgical testing on cobalt feedstocks at its historic Cobalt Camp in Ontario and at its Iron Creek, Idaho cobalt and copper project to expand North American supply of critical minerals contained in lithium-ion batteries for electric vehicles (EVs).

After a consultation period from June 20 to July 18, Fastmarkets made the decision to discontinue these assessments because the outright prices no longer reflect market conditions, with the market shifting toward payables as the dominant pricing method. The affected prices are:MB-NIO-0003 nickel mixed hydroxide precipitate outright price, cif China, Japan and South Korea, $ per tonneMB-NIO-0005 nickel […]

The publication of Fastmarkets’ MB-CO-0004 cobalt alloy grade, in-whs Rotterdam and MB-CO-0005 cobalt standard grade, in-whs Rotterdam assessments for Wednesday July 23 was delayed because of a system error. Fastmarkets’ pricing database has been updated.

After an initial one-and-a-half-month consultation, followed by a further three-month consultation period on the proposed inclusion of a powder brand, and following market feedback and data analysis, Fastmarkets has determined that current market circumstances do not make the proposed amendment to the cobalt standard grade, in-whs Rotterdam, daily price assessment viable. This decision is not a judgement on the […]

In the weeks following confirmation that the cobalt market will face an additional three months of no exports from the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), metal prices have consolidated as participants point to the future for bullish sentiment.

Fastmarkets has corrected the rationale for its MB-CO-0021 cobalt hydroxide payable indicator, min 30% Co, cif China, % payable of Fastmarkets’ standard-grade cobalt price (low-end), which was published incorrectly on Wednesday July 2 due to a reporter error.

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