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Base metals like copper, aluminium, nickel and alumina are some of the world’s most frequently traded commodities. With so many forces bearing down on the base metals market, win-win outcomes for negotiations depend on the depth and breadth of your understanding of the market.
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Fraudsters have been using base metals such as tungsten to exploit unwary gold investors with counterfeits and scams, the director of the International Chamber of Commerce’s Counterfeiting Intelligence Bureau has claimed
Physically-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in base metals will not affect prices in the medium to long term because investors will sell back to the market if tightness appears, according to research by Goldman Sachs
Now that the dust has settled on another LME week, perhaps it’s worth having a look at some of the topics that were exercising the industry’s minds in London last week. The one area where there seemed to be almost total agreement was that prices still seem to be locked in a bull phase. But don’t get me wrong; that doesn’t mean everybody I chatted with was rampagingly bullish. Alongside those who take the view that commodity asset values can only go up, I found a surprising number who, almost despairingly, agreed that standing in front of the freight train of the current market was not an option.
Lord Copper has done well to draw attention to the groundswell of interest in ETFs in commodities, and particularly metals. It’s easy enough to see why the financial whizz-kids are interested in metals – they’re going up and the prospects are for them to go on going up. This is an ideal background for persuading your clients to go long of metals.
Within the last few weeks, ETF Securities, one of the principal sponsors of exchange-traded funds, has been admitted as a non-member account holder in LMEsword, the warrant depositary system
In MB’s latest poll on future copper prices, 55% of respondents forecast that three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange will be above $8,000 per tonne by the end of this month. But even as traders on the LME talked of the upward momentum in base metals, copper prices have plunged twice in recent days. Prices fell sharply on Tuesday and again on Thursday, when moves on the Shanghai Futures Exchange were so sharp and sudden that they took traders in Asia aback. To them, for a short time, it looked like the flash crash that galvanized US equity dealers earlier this year.
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